HighOctane
0xc7a28c75d419fa5aae333e69e51199e8610c5840
- Realised P&L
- $-6.7k
- Volume
- $557.8k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? · No | 0.983 | 1.000 | $779.99 | +$13.26 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.004 | $175.00 | −$175.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $120.00 | +$0.24 |
| World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? · No | 0.980 | 1.000 | $110.00 | +$2.20 |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.004 | $105.00 | −$135.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.03at 0.889Will Elon tweet 475–499 times August 8–August 15?
- +$85.85at 0.927US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
- +$84.56at 0.800Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
- +$83.79at 0.960Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
- +$79.99at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 12:21 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15? | SELL | 0.950997516 | $543.66 |
| 07-07 21:51 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.028 | $403.20 |
| 07-07 19:41 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15? | SELL | 0.987 | $76.71 |
| 07-07 15:56 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15? | BUY | 0.988 | $646.55 |
| 07-07 15:55 | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | BUY | 0.98 | $107.80 |
| 07-07 15:54 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.034 | $680.00 |
| 07-06 16:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.983 | $134.62 |
| 07-06 16:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $119.76 |
| 07-06 16:43 | Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $350.00 |
| 06-08 14:31 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $1.2k |
| 04-13 20:31 | Will ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 04-13 20:31 | Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.999 | $120.88 |
| 04-13 20:30 | Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.999 | $74.92 |
| 04-13 20:30 | Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 04-13 20:29 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.98552404 | $246.38 |