0xC77bc329a1dB36E2Df286D9f75F705fe63980D0e-1774041685650
0xc77bc329a1db36e2df286d9f75f705fe63980d0e
- Realised P&L
- $-109.27
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $25.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.255 | $21.00 | +$7.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.095 | $4.08 | −$6.66 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) · Jirí Procházka | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.92 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? · Yes | 0.266 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.79 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Resni.ca (Res) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? · Yes | 0.145 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.37at 0.159Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
- +$26.08at 0.487Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
- +$7.94at 0.710Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$4.21at 0.880Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
- +$1.98at 0.114Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 21:37 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SELL | 0.92 | $5.54 |
| 07-14 21:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $3.80 |
| 07-14 21:36 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.227 | $3.98 |
| 07-10 21:15 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.208 | $2.68 |
| 07-02 23:21 | Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.1449998912 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 00:01 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 13:09 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 13:07 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.89 |
| 06-18 12:33 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 20:55 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.20 |
| 06-12 18:25 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 18:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 18:24 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 06-12 18:24 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 06-12 18:23 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | SELL | 0.46 | $1.96 |