0087741
0xc73cc0989d4e863e4e8bca1343700cb910df10b5
- Realised P&L
- $-17.15
- Volume
- $59.0k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $73.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $20.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August? · No | 0.998 | 0.994 | $16.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $14.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.997 | 0.996 | $13.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.960 | 0.987 | $5.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.991 | 0.998 | $1.07 | +$0.01 |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage · Nongshim Red Force | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.27 |
| LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana · LGD Gaming | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.33at 0.600Lakers vs. Mavericks
- +$8.34at 0.590Celtics vs. Bulls
- +$6.13at 0.710Lightning vs. Blackhawks
- +$4.47at 0.750Heat vs. Jazz
- +$3.29at 0.820LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 06:24 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.00 |
| 08-04 06:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.997 | $14.00 |
| 08-04 06:24 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.00 |
| 08-04 06:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.00 |
| 07-22 05:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 07-22 05:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 05:40 | Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 05:40 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9769999976 | $4.00 |
| 07-22 05:39 | Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 05:39 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9939999993 | $6.00 |
| 07-22 05:39 | Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 05:39 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.00 |
| 07-22 05:39 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9819999987 | $6.00 |
| 07-22 05:38 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 05:38 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |