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0xC6bfF0020A9a48F0F650c57048e6f3764deBDBe7-1770154252501

0xc6bff0020a9a48f0f650c57048e6f3764debdbe7

Realised P&L
$360.49
Volume
$34.1k
Markets traded
198
Open portfolio
$714.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded198
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5200.455$463.75$66.25
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5450.540$49.55$0.45
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30? · Yes0.3780.355$23.46$1.54
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.1310.121$23.09$1.91
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.150$22.50$22.50
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0220.029$21.08+$5.08
Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31? · Yes0.3000.290$19.33$0.67
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? · No0.4300.365$12.73$2.27
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? · Yes0.2700.235$12.19$1.81
Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1980.220$11.11+$1.11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · Yes0.5800.570$9.83$0.17
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? · Yes0.2400.235$9.79$0.21
Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30? · Yes0.3500.265$7.57$2.43
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0600.035$5.86$4.14
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? · Yes0.0580.037$4.55$2.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 17:48Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.5799999861$10.00
08-04 17:47Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?BUY0.2399999856$10.00
08-04 17:42Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?BUY0.0793216972$5.00
08-04 08:44Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30?BUY0.3499999842$10.00
08-04 08:42Will Russia enter Myrne by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0460112088$5.00
08-04 08:34Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4299999951$15.00
08-04 08:33Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31?BUY0.2999999925$20.00
08-04 07:21US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.63$35.00
08-04 07:21US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.72$39.27
08-03 22:41Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?BUY0.2699999904$14.00
08-03 22:40Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0597014925$10.00
08-03 20:04Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?BUY0.0577215273$7.00
08-03 07:18Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?SELL0.83$31.92
08-02 09:26US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0486281798$5.00
08-02 09:26US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?BUY0.0279999946$5.00