0xC6bfF0020A9a48F0F650c57048e6f3764deBDBe7-1770154252501
0xc6bff0020a9a48f0f650c57048e6f3764debdbe7
- Realised P&L
- $360.49
- Volume
- $34.1k
- Markets traded
- 198
- Open portfolio
- $714.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded198
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$250.72at 0.593Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$185.46at 0.472Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
- +$184.76at 0.680Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$162.00at 0.100Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$135.19at 0.270US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:48 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 17:47 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 17:42 | Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? | BUY | 0.0793216972 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 08:44 | Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 08:42 | Will Russia enter Myrne by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0460112088 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 08:34 | Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999951 | $15.00 |
| 08-04 08:33 | Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31? | BUY | 0.2999999925 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 07:21 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.63 | $35.00 |
| 08-04 07:21 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | SELL | 0.72 | $39.27 |
| 08-03 22:41 | Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.2699999904 | $14.00 |
| 08-03 22:40 | Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0597014925 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 20:04 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | BUY | 0.0577215273 | $7.00 |
| 08-03 07:18 | Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $31.92 |
| 08-02 09:26 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0486281798 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 09:26 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0279999946 | $5.00 |