l0st92
0xc69c66dea8584caf6a3173a949653d60a95b3442
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $30.6k
- Markets traded
- 3,705
- Open portfolio
- $3.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,705
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Down | 0.740 | 1.000 | $3.38 | +$0.88 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Down | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Solana Up or Down - August 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET · Down | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET · Down | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET · Up | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.49at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
- +$25.48at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
- +$24.50at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
- +$24.01at 0.510Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5PM ET
- +$23.18at 0.518Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 00:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.739999929 | $2.50 |
| 08-04 23:06 | XRP Up or Down - August 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 23:06 | Solana Up or Down - August 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 22:21 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $2.50 |
| 08-04 21:46 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.739999929 | $2.50 |
| 08-04 21:46 | Solana Up or Down - August 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 21:26 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6199999157 | $2.50 |
| 08-04 21:26 | Solana Up or Down - August 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 21:11 | Solana Up or Down - August 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 21:06 | Solana Up or Down - August 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 20:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999347 | $2.50 |
| 08-04 20:46 | Solana Up or Down - August 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 20:21 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999541 | $2.50 |
| 08-04 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 20:20 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |