Defilogist
0xc6232d922b2c537bc4a604d6bde24aa10c032195
- Realised P&L
- $-281.01
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $269.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.920 | 0.710 | $154.35 | −$45.65 |
| Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch? · No | 0.800 | 0.585 | $117.00 | −$43.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.75at 0.689Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
- +$68.40at 0.620Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
- +$38.20at 0.730Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
- +$37.80at 0.750Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$32.44at 0.820Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-15 19:56 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.87 | $119.74 |
| 04-08 06:43 | Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.096 | $2.51 |
| 03-16 23:27 | Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 03-16 23:27 | Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.77 | $153.99 |
| 03-16 23:27 | Will MrBeast get married by December 31? | SELL | 0.572238 | $57.22 |
| 03-16 23:27 | SBF released from custody in 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $139.20 |
| 03-04 20:12 | Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.92 | $200.00 |
| 02-25 23:22 | SBF released from custody in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $145.60 |
| 02-16 21:37 | Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.76 | $22.80 |
| 02-16 09:34 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $71.50 |
| 02-14 21:31 | Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.85 | $221.00 |
| 02-14 00:31 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.84 | $84.00 |
| 02-14 00:30 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.79 | $79.00 |
| 02-14 00:27 | Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.62 | $99.20 |
| 02-14 00:26 | Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.84 | $84.00 |