1111416
0xc5f5cc827040db81cdebe637d815722a6f195d54
- Realised P&L
- $9.1k
- Volume
- $868.1k
- Markets traded
- 353
- Open portfolio
- $138.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded353
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.054Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?
- +$1.0kat 0.500Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$426.47at 0.160Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 26?
- +$424.28at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 31?
- +$383.44at 0.551Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:51 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on August 3? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.46 |
| 08-02 22:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.75 |
| 08-02 22:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1722469882 | $35.32 |
| 08-02 22:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1488285755 | $41.29 |
| 08-02 22:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 3? | BUY | 0.0153238244 | $6.26 |
| 08-02 22:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.09 | $17.06 |
| 08-02 22:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.76 |
| 08-02 13:04 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0123018492 | $4.81 |
| 08-02 06:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.1129904341 | $7.68 |
| 08-02 05:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.0098838073 | $19.56 |
| 08-02 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 08-02 04:07 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.1351903114 | $1.56 |
| 08-02 04:07 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.103 | $1.70 |
| 08-02 04:07 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.1044542873 | $1.84 |
| 08-02 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.109610203 | $6.10 |