DadBod86
0xc5b1d612da11019f303c20d4b04a7af78d0ce904
- Realised P&L
- $9.2k
- Volume
- $463.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,004
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,004
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.640 | 0.645 | $645.23 | +$5.29 |
| New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians · New York Mets | 0.430 | 0.415 | $414.99 | −$15.00 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.380 | 0.405 | $405.00 | +$25.00 |
| New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians · New York Mets | 0.450 | 0.455 | $62.20 | +$0.68 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.560 | 0.570 | $22.80 | +$0.40 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.660 | 0.695 | $18.98 | +$0.95 |
| Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) · Detroit Tigers | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.58 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics · Athletics | 0.546 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.84 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$212.00 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants · Colorado Rockies | 0.416 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$207.90 |
| Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) · Chicago Cubs | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$260.00 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins · Miami Marlins | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.77 |
| Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) · New York Mets | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.95 |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky · Chicago Sky | 0.465 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$186.00 |
| Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) · Texas Rangers | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$128.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.390Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- +$3.1kat 0.376New York Yankees vs. Athletics
- +$2.9kat 0.420Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- +$2.8kat 0.430Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
- +$2.6kat 0.481Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 06:16 | New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.45 | $61.51 |
| 08-04 06:12 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.56 | $22.40 |
| 08-03 23:09 | San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.54 | $539.99 |
| 08-03 18:14 | Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.66 | $18.03 |
| 08-03 06:52 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.45 | $40.06 |
| 08-02 20:55 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFire | BUY | 0.38 | $352.61 |
| 08-02 19:20 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFire | BUY | 0.49 | $980.00 |
| 08-02 19:11 | Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) | BUY | 0.41 | $6.97 |
| 08-02 18:47 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.39 | $30.08 |
| 08-02 18:24 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.44 | $328.99 |
| 08-02 17:53 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.4299999997 | $565.00 |
| 08-02 17:34 | Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 08-01 23:10 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.56 | $32.14 |
| 07-31 23:25 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.4 | $368.80 |
| 07-31 22:05 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.44 | $440.00 |