sullu
0xc57b88626302e400f19195a1148f5fc3ff321790
- Realised P&L
- $4.70
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $194.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.315 | $143.18 | +$43.18 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.055 | $51.70 | −$42.30 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.16at 0.380US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
- +$0.05at 0.990Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
- +$0.05at 0.500Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
- +$0.00at 0.500Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
- +$-40.00at 0.900Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 02:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 02:23 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.2199999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-28 02:20 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $105.15 |
| 07-26 20:02 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.0128440367 | $7.00 |
| 07-25 13:31 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | BUY | 0.3799999973 | $40.00 |
| 07-22 10:34 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | SELL | 0.9 | $0.11 |
| 07-15 15:13 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $94.00 |
| 07-14 21:12 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 21:02 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15? | BUY | 0.9 | $40.00 |