sakure
0xc557ce508cf4fd195d6b300aa622e414aeaccd18
- Realised P&L
- $-261.64
- Volume
- $32.1k
- Markets traded
- 386
- Open portfolio
- $148.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded386
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$526.23at 0.160Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
- +$92.34at 0.844Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
- +$89.72at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11AM ET
- +$75.38at 0.117Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12AM ET
- +$69.56at 0.301Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 10:04 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 07:32 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5859999886 | $17.05 |
| 04-04 02:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.5254176921 | $119.56 |
| 04-04 02:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $9.19 |
| 04-04 02:44 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $9.21 |
| 04-02 07:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.29999997 | $4.50 |
| 04-02 07:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $142.36 |
| 04-02 05:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.5381714871 | $74.05 |
| 04-02 05:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.339999993 | $27.15 |
| 04-02 03:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.5244167026 | $27.95 |
| 04-02 03:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999952 | $27.88 |
| 04-02 01:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.5137644405 | $93.00 |
| 04-01 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $9.09 |
| 04-01 15:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $9.24 |
| 04-01 15:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11AM ET | SELL | 0.9843092091 | $186.19 |