romerocarlosob
0xc529acae5d34792aeb99acb22c7f9b81b3a2e4bc
- Realised P&L
- $-19.50
- Volume
- $503.84
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $5.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? · Yes | 0.298 | 0.350 | $5.76 | +$0.85 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026? · No | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.65at 0.243Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 19:03 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? | BUY | 0.2981404175 | $4.91 |
| 07-01 19:00 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.0446591241 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 16:32 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.0469999914 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 19:24 | Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $14.65 |
| 06-18 20:11 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.0072727934 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 20:10 | Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.2429999592 | $4.00 |
| 06-18 20:09 | Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.00 |
| 06-18 19:44 | Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 19:44 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 19:42 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 19:34 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |