maedina
0xc524bae671476c906d9245dcf2ef18d5aaff75a2
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $3.82M
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $1.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$346.25at 0.002Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$64.73at 0.001Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$58.53at 0.902Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$54.60at 0.070Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$39.60at 0.012Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-18 13:02 | Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | SELL | 0.001 | $2.50 |
| 05-18 13:02 | Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | SELL | 0.001 | $1.24 |
| 03-24 00:52 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? | SELL | 0.002 | $39.11 |
| 03-19 19:19 | Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.004525024 | $67.88 |
| 03-18 13:27 | Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $31.04 |
| 03-16 00:47 | Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.11 |
| 03-15 22:47 | Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.22 |
| 03-15 22:40 | Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.08 |
| 03-15 22:05 | Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.001 | $16.42 |
| 03-14 23:12 | Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 17:21 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? | SELL | 0.001 | $24.50 |
| 02-12 02:43 | Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3056155 | $61.12 |
| 02-10 21:09 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev? | SELL | 0.001 | $7.95 |
| 02-08 17:49 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.05 |
| 02-03 16:51 | Will the next Dutch government be another combination? | BUY | 0.003 | $9.00 |