PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

maedina

0xc524bae671476c906d9245dcf2ef18d5aaff75a2

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$3.82M
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$1.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0020.001$1.20$3.29
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1680.002$0.30$33.28
Will Partido da Social Democracia Brasileira (PSDB) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? · Yes0.0500.004$0.30$3.96
Will Partido dos Trabalhadores (PT) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? · Yes0.0500.004$0.15$1.94
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$40.69
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.00
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.7690.000$0.00$184.50
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$21.80
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.21
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August? · No0.5100.000$0.00$5.00
Will Reform Party (RP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$7.78
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.50
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$16.81
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$6.46
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-18 13:02Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionSELL0.001$2.50
05-18 13:02Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionSELL0.001$1.24
03-24 00:52Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?SELL0.002$39.11
03-19 19:19Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.004525024$67.88
03-18 13:27Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.001$31.04
03-16 00:47Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.001$0.11
03-15 22:47Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.001$5.22
03-15 22:40Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.001$1.08
03-15 22:05Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.001$16.42
03-14 23:12Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.003$1.00
03-06 17:21Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?SELL0.001$24.50
02-12 02:43Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3056155$61.12
02-10 21:09Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?SELL0.001$7.95
02-08 17:49Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?SELL0.001$2.05
02-03 16:51Will the next Dutch government be another combination?BUY0.003$9.00