A0467
0xc5228b1da323c31727adc68f48793e26a2b898ba
- Realised P&L
- $113.60
- Volume
- $113.1k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $77.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $18.91 | −$0.06 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 5? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $16.94 | −$0.04 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $100 on August 4? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $15.99 | +$0.01 |
| Will Solana reach $160 in August? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $13.96 | −$0.01 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $20 on August 7? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.995 | $12.03 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.9kat 0.080Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$4.6kat 0.270Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$4.6kat 0.270Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$4.4kat 0.060Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$2.00at 0.600Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 06:31 | Will the price of Solana be above $20 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.08 |
| 08-02 06:31 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 6? | BUY | 0.9987368421 | $18.98 |
| 08-02 06:31 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.98 |
| 08-02 06:30 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.98 |
| 08-02 06:30 | Will Solana reach $160 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.97 |
| 07-02 10:40 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on July 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.88 |
| 07-02 10:39 | Will the price of Solana be above $90 on July 2? | BUY | 0.99866 | $14.98 |
| 07-02 10:39 | Will the price of Solana be above $20 on July 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $18.96 |
| 07-02 10:39 | Will the price of Solana be above $20 on July 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 06-14 11:52 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.88 |
| 06-14 11:52 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.97 |
| 06-14 11:51 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $21.93 |
| 06-14 11:51 | Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.98 |
| 05-09 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on May 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.65 |
| 05-09 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on May 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.95 |