notap
0xc48073ecd03f4651aaf405fe560d4ed263b78d0d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $65.4k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $15.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$187.06at 0.398Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?
- +$185.23at 0.756US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
- +$107.35at 0.826Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?
- +$76.09at 0.825Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?
- +$33.65at 0.711Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-28 20:52 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.0941645492 | $999.00 |
| 02-28 20:49 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.0889999995 | $153.00 |
| 02-28 20:48 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.0744949363 | $260.91 |
| 02-28 20:47 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.0743589744 | $13.05 |
| 01-24 03:56 | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BUY | 0.65 | $16.25 |
| 01-24 03:13 | U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.6312481278 | $379.32 |
| 01-24 03:00 | US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $90.33 |
| 01-24 00:55 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.8014584882 | $1.5k |
| 01-24 00:54 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.7799999999 | $2.0k |
| 01-22 16:04 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.5058834128 | $946.18 |
| 01-22 16:00 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6265625593 | $330.01 |
| 01-22 15:48 | Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.776890035 | $394.64 |
| 01-22 15:36 | Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31? | SELL | 0.5936469224 | $568.06 |
| 01-22 15:33 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.6207257882 | $492.62 |
| 01-22 14:06 | Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum? | SELL | 0.999 | $437.08 |