PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

notap

0xc48073ecd03f4651aaf405fe560d4ed263b78d0d

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$65.4k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$15.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · No0.8021.000$5.5k+$1.1k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.6530.925$1.3k+$396.62
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? · No0.7181.000$1.3k+$373.11
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · No0.7701.000$1.2k+$284.36
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · No0.8541.000$1.1k+$162.40
US strike on Colombia by March 31? · No0.8731.000$1.1k+$138.49
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6340.605$908.97$43.03
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.6971.000$819.46+$248.46
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? · No0.7941.000$719.38+$148.38
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? · No0.7840.920$669.93+$98.93
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.6901.000$524.18+$162.28
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes0.5200.315$218.68$142.32
Will Baidu have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00$100.00
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? · No0.7170.000$0.00$620.31
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No0.0890.000$0.00$1.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-28 20:52Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.0941645492$999.00
02-28 20:49Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.0889999995$153.00
02-28 20:48Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.0744949363$260.91
02-28 20:47Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.0743589744$13.05
01-24 03:56US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? BUY0.65$16.25
01-24 03:13U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?SELL0.6312481278$379.32
01-24 03:00US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?BUY0.85$90.33
01-24 00:55Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.8014584882$1.5k
01-24 00:54Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.7799999999$2.0k
01-22 16:04Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?SELL0.5058834128$946.18
01-22 16:00Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6265625593$330.01
01-22 15:48Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 31, 2026?SELL0.776890035$394.64
01-22 15:36Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?SELL0.5936469224$568.06
01-22 15:33Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?SELL0.6207257882$492.62
01-22 14:06Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?SELL0.999$437.08