PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xC46f094934Bb4FC728D90aafB6B4AcC06c073130-1768924929951

0xc46f094934bb4fc728d90aafb6b4acc06c073130

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$107.4k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$37.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:38Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?BUY0.995$796.00
07-31 23:50Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?BUY0.987$199.37
07-31 23:48Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?BUY0.9875658387$1.4k
07-22 08:55Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?BUY0.9876234219$2.3k
07-13 03:56Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?BUY0.9857542852$212.78
07-13 03:17Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.9632714967$1.5k
07-13 03:12Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.925$9.25
07-13 03:10Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?BUY0.961$2.2k
07-08 18:18Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.9252187735$480.22
07-07 23:33Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.9$13.43
07-07 20:28Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?BUY0.9654740004$2.5k
07-07 20:24Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.8997650266$1.1k
06-26 19:46Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.87$60.90
06-26 19:44Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.86$39.66
06-26 19:44Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.86$16.76