vinp47369
0xc46d52e4ffd87c3c6b127fce02e6ce0d0914a258
- Realised P&L
- $1.90
- Volume
- $214.70
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $12.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 5? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $12.31 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.48at 0.946Will "The Investigation of Lucy Letby" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 10)
- +$0.14at 0.995Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 43.0 on March 13, 2026?
- +$0.07at 0.993Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 25?
- +$0.05at 0.996Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$0.05at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on May 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 02:36 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.30 |
| 07-24 05:54 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $9.50 |
| 07-07 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on July 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.00 |
| 06-27 02:48 | Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.00 |
| 06-04 06:52 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9959999868 | $13.00 |
| 05-22 02:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on May 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.00 |
| 03-13 13:53 | Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 43.0 on March 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $28.00 |
| 03-07 02:21 | Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.0 on March 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.00 |
| 02-10 08:05 | Will "The Investigation of Lucy Letby" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 10) | BUY | 0.9460284993 | $26.00 |
| 02-02 15:35 | Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026) | BUY | 0.999 | $25.00 |