PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

santanika

0xc450733a59ad35050029a435509b1732eaa96b80

Realised P&L
$20.7k
Volume
$2.93M
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$540.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2820.185$323.66$170.48
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6000.610$216.61+$3.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 18:14Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.024$479.74
07-09 18:12Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.02$399.78
06-25 22:34Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?BUY0.967$562.76
06-25 22:24Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6$15.07
06-25 15:05Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.27$95.03
06-14 22:16Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.28$16.80
06-14 22:16Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.28$16.80
06-14 22:15Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.28$44.12
06-11 14:21Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.004$312.00
06-11 14:21Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.008$623.99
06-11 13:04Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.009$701.99
06-11 13:04Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.007$545.99
06-11 13:04Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.004$312.00
06-11 10:40Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.011$857.99
06-11 10:27Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.018$1.4k