winners999
0xc443be0a2acf43125b12584b8d8f71471ab24c10
- Realised P&L
- $-178.77
- Volume
- $21.5k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $4.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.005 | $2.75 | −$0.45 |
| Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.004 | $2.00 | −$2.50 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? · No | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$190.80at 0.470Grizzlies vs. Nets
- +$89.37at 0.700Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Buffalo Bulls
- +$83.52at 0.280Lakers vs. Rockets
- +$73.04at 0.560Pistons vs. 76ers
- +$59.51at 0.459Knicks vs. Clippers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 02:05 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 18? | SELL | 0.59 | $0.24 |
| 06-18 02:04 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 18? | BUY | 0.61 | $71.98 |
| 06-18 01:46 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 18? | SELL | 0.5671085513 | $29.05 |
| 06-18 01:46 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 18? | SELL | 0.4 | $34.40 |
| 06-18 01:20 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 18? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.76 |
| 06-17 23:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 18? | SELL | 0.38 | $31.75 |
| 06-17 00:19 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.25 | $7.50 |
| 06-11 23:23 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.47 | $11.75 |
| 06-02 03:49 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.986 | $197.20 |
| 05-16 02:23 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.986 | $197.20 |
| 05-16 02:23 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on May 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 05-16 02:22 | Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | BUY | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 05-15 03:05 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on May 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $199.60 |
| 05-14 02:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 15? | BUY | 0.997 | $15.95 |
| 05-07 06:01 | Lakers vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.88 | $44.00 |