PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

winners999

0xc443be0a2acf43125b12584b8d8f71471ab24c10

Realised P&L
$-178.77
Volume
$21.5k
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$4.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0060.005$2.75$0.45
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0090.004$2.00$2.50
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? · No0.2500.000$0.00$7.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-18 02:05Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 18?SELL0.59$0.24
06-18 02:04Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 18?BUY0.61$71.98
06-18 01:46Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 18?SELL0.5671085513$29.05
06-18 01:46Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 18?SELL0.4$34.40
06-18 01:20Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 18?SELL0.28$0.76
06-17 23:34Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 18?SELL0.38$31.75
06-17 00:19Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.25$7.50
06-11 23:23US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.47$11.75
06-02 03:49Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.986$197.20
05-16 02:23Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.986$197.20
05-16 02:23Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on May 16?SELL0.999$199.80
05-16 02:22Golden Knights vs. AvalancheBUY0.65$13.00
05-15 03:05Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on May 16?BUY0.998$199.60
05-14 02:25Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 15?BUY0.997$15.95
05-07 06:01Lakers vs. ThunderBUY0.88$44.00