xinJian2
0xc40b6154ce8db71fdd2596f796848c1a4a058c5a
- Realised P&L
- $-338.04
- Volume
- $65.7k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $42.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.124Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?
- +$695.31at 0.650Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
- +$491.00at 0.754Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$270.00at 0.900SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
- +$200.00at 0.750Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 20:56 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.1125 | $11.25 |
| 07-19 19:03 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.416 | $166.40 |
| 07-14 19:21 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.2375 | $23.75 |
| 07-14 19:17 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 07-09 20:12 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.125 | $25.00 |
| 07-06 03:03 | Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 07-05 22:01 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | SELL | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 07-05 21:55 | Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.003 | $1.19 |
| 07-05 21:53 | Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 21:43 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.64 | $64.00 |
| 07-05 21:43 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.64 | $64.00 |
| 07-05 19:57 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 19:57 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 07-03 20:30 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.194 | $38.80 |
| 07-03 01:05 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.0075 | $0.75 |