PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

xinJian2

0xc40b6154ce8db71fdd2596f796848c1a4a058c5a

Realised P&L
$-338.04
Volume
$65.7k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$42.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9? · Yes0.0800.085$42.50+$2.50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5680.000$0.00$56.80
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$24.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$299.98
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.0950.000$0.00$28.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$20.00
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$84.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1250.000$0.00$25.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$23.25
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.3040.000$0.00$60.75
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance · Mexico0.0300.000$0.00$3.00
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance · Croatia0.0180.000$0.00$5.50
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$2.50
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? · No0.1580.000$0.00$31.54
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? · Yes0.1550.000$0.00$31.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 20:56Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.1125$11.25
07-19 19:03Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.416$166.40
07-14 19:21Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.2375$23.75
07-14 19:17Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.37$37.00
07-09 20:12Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.125$25.00
07-06 03:03Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.03$3.00
07-05 22:01Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?SELL0.998$99.80
07-05 21:55Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBUY0.003$1.19
07-05 21:53Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBUY0.01$5.00
07-05 21:43Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.64$64.00
07-05 21:43Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.64$64.00
07-05 19:57Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.2$20.00
07-05 19:57Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.2$20.00
07-03 20:30Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.194$38.80
07-03 01:05Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.0075$0.75