Bearschis
0xc40626b81d11705fd9b7bea8a311d942014ddfb5
- Realised P&L
- $39.29
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 331
- Open portfolio
- $167.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded331
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.60at 0.699Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 24?
- +$6.58at 0.820Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 26?
- +$6.03at 0.870Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 2?
- +$4.77at 0.567Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?
- +$4.48at 0.870Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on July 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 21:04 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8599999954 | $14.99 |
| 08-04 11:36 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.8040127752 | $15.00 |
| 08-04 11:34 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.16 |
| 08-04 11:33 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.778 | $7.78 |
| 08-04 08:55 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8399999955 | $14.99 |
| 08-04 07:16 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 08-04 06:39 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.8499999972 | $14.99 |
| 08-04 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8899999929 | $4.99 |
| 08-04 05:21 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8899999929 | $4.99 |
| 08-04 04:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8399999955 | $14.99 |
| 08-04 04:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8599999954 | $14.99 |
| 08-03 22:02 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.8899999941 | $14.99 |
| 08-03 22:02 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $4.99 |
| 08-03 21:07 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.8799999812 | $14.99 |
| 08-03 20:31 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.8499999972 | $14.99 |