0xc3facfa04ce7adfb8b35c50aec218802af1fd3fe
- Realised P&L
- $-66.40
- Volume
- $941.94
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $31.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.207 | 0.278 | $13.33 | +$3.38 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.135 | $6.53 | +$1.53 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,000-$6,500 in December? · Yes | 0.243 | 0.115 | $5.28 | −$5.90 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.272 | $3.48 | −$1.52 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.031 | $2.80 | −$7.15 |
| Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.005 | $0.33 | −$6.10 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.90 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.508 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.14at 0.170Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
- +$6.20at 0.470Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$2.58at 0.660Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$-3.00at 0.110Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?
- +$-3.00at 0.230Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 10:05 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.52 | $13.00 |
| 06-22 14:56 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 14:55 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.4099999289 | $3.00 |
| 06-22 14:54 | Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2299999456 | $3.00 |
| 06-21 16:09 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Saudi Arabia? | BUY | 0.032 | $3.00 |
| 06-21 16:09 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Saudi Arabia? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 06-20 11:52 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 11:50 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.1099999685 | $3.00 |
| 06-20 11:47 | Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 11:46 | Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 11:44 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $5.00 |
| 06-16 17:36 | Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.00 |
| 06-12 14:28 | Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.169999969 | $4.33 |
| 06-12 14:25 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.8099998668 | $4.50 |
| 06-12 14:24 | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.4699999812 | $5.50 |