PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xc3facfa04ce7adfb8b35c50aec218802af1fd3fe

Realised P&L
$-66.40
Volume
$941.94
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$31.76

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2070.278$13.33+$3.38
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1030.135$6.53+$1.53
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,000-$6,500 in December? · Yes0.2430.115$5.28$5.90
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3900.272$3.48$1.52
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1100.031$2.80$7.15
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes0.1060.005$0.33$6.10
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$3.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00$19.90
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.5080.000$0.00$18.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 10:05Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.52$13.00
06-22 14:56Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.5099999796$5.00
06-22 14:55Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.4099999289$3.00
06-22 14:54Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?BUY0.2299999456$3.00
06-21 16:09Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Saudi Arabia?BUY0.032$3.00
06-21 16:09Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Saudi Arabia?BUY0.08$3.00
06-20 11:52Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.4799999808$5.00
06-20 11:50Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.1099999685$3.00
06-20 11:47Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?BUY0.2399999674$5.00
06-20 11:46Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
06-20 11:44Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.6599999604$5.00
06-16 17:36Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria?BUY0.16$3.00
06-12 14:28Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?BUY0.169999969$4.33
06-12 14:25Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.8099998668$4.50
06-12 14:24Will United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.4699999812$5.50