0xc3ed3b1593fa4d87b03b72682331b5dc095d1b04
- Realised P&L
- $-299.53
- Volume
- $25.2k
- Markets traded
- 376
- Open portfolio
- $3.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded376
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.025 | $2.01 | +$0.16 |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes | 0.476 | 0.365 | $1.46 | −$0.44 |
| Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.005 | $0.38 | −$1.02 |
| Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 10 or more seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.92 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET · Down | 0.626 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.27 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET · Up | 0.404 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.48at 0.342XRP Up or Down - February 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
- +$39.25at 0.093Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
- +$21.25at 0.605Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11AM ET
- +$20.92at 0.579Solana Up or Down - February 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
- +$19.88at 0.407Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 11AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-15 11:25 | Counter-Strike: Alliance vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs | SELL | 0.41 | $1.96 |
| 02-15 11:24 | Will T1 win the LCK Cup 2026? | BUY | 0.3399998998 | $1.90 |
| 02-15 11:23 | Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 10 or more seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections? | BUY | 0.4899999132 | $1.92 |
| 02-15 11:22 | Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.08 |
| 02-15 11:20 | Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+1.5) | BUY | 0.02 | $1.85 |
| 02-15 11:20 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on February 15? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.85 |
| 02-15 11:19 | Chennai: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Federico Agustin Gomez | BUY | 0.2999999053 | $1.90 |
| 02-15 11:19 | Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.4763609514 | $1.90 |
| 02-15 11:19 | Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.4399999083 | $1.92 |
| 02-15 11:18 | Will Jutta Leerdam (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | SELL | 0.128 | $1.63 |
| 02-15 11:17 | Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026? | BUY | 0.3699998896 | $1.91 |
| 02-15 11:15 | Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Inner Circle (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs | SELL | 0.2 | $1.19 |
| 02-15 11:15 | LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Kick-off Playoffs | BUY | 0.3599999171 | $1.91 |
| 02-15 11:14 | Will Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0501231282 | $1.85 |
| 02-15 11:13 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage | BUY | 0.2199999115 | $1.89 |