PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Scandica2

0xc3313363f4d8af178c2848c409f7aebfa2841d71

Realised P&L
$-14.0k
Volume
$1.08M
Markets traded
486
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded486
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2600.290$3.1k+$323.09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3900.405$92.72+$3.43
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 7? · No0.0560.000$0.00$50.00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$10.00
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00$100.00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$30.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$46.79
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$10.00
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? · Yes0.3580.000$0.00$100.00
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? · No0.2410.000$0.00$96.21
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? · No0.0350.000$0.00$120.79
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 11? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$37.96
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$33.00
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Up0.0070.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 19:44Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.389999999$89.29
07-31 23:48Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?BUY0.6291355583$50.00
07-31 23:48Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?BUY0.0311357959$50.00
07-31 23:42Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.2599999999$2.8k
06-29 18:54Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?SELL0.0335925012$36.61
06-29 18:52Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?SELL0.06$36.11
06-29 18:30Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.1099999988$80.00
06-29 18:20Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.1399999989$100.00
06-29 17:57Spread: Japan (-1.5)BUY0.1359999989$100.00
06-29 17:33Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.4$100.00
06-18 22:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19?BUY0.1499999921$14.29
06-18 22:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19?BUY0.15$30.00
06-18 22:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 19?BUY0.0168406871$40.00
06-18 22:24Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.24$900.00
06-17 14:12Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.003$10.00