Scandica2
0xc3313363f4d8af178c2848c409f7aebfa2841d71
- Realised P&L
- $-14.0k
- Volume
- $1.08M
- Markets traded
- 486
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded486
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.9kat 0.294Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
- +$2.6kat 0.125Will egg prices be more than $6.00 in March?
- +$2.2kat 0.183Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
- +$1.7kat 0.125Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 11–18?
- +$1.4kat 0.236Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 28 - April 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 19:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.389999999 | $89.29 |
| 07-31 23:48 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.6291355583 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 23:48 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.0311357959 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 23:42 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999999 | $2.8k |
| 06-29 18:54 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | SELL | 0.0335925012 | $36.61 |
| 06-29 18:52 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | SELL | 0.06 | $36.11 |
| 06-29 18:30 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.1099999988 | $80.00 |
| 06-29 18:20 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $100.00 |
| 06-29 17:57 | Spread: Japan (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1359999989 | $100.00 |
| 06-29 17:33 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 06-18 22:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19? | BUY | 0.1499999921 | $14.29 |
| 06-18 22:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 06-18 22:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 19? | BUY | 0.0168406871 | $40.00 |
| 06-18 22:24 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.24 | $900.00 |
| 06-17 14:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $10.00 |