LightningAndTheThunder
0xc3066f356e5895fd2c0ff410b5c9aa2b02d0accd
- Realised P&L
- $6.0k
- Volume
- $56.7k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.560 | 0.575 | $594.99 | +$15.52 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles | 0.560 | 0.585 | $578.73 | +$24.73 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers | 0.640 | 0.645 | $554.30 | +$4.30 |
| Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever · Las Vegas Aces | 0.490 | 0.500 | $180.13 | +$3.70 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves | 0.560 | 0.565 | $174.03 | +$1.51 |
| Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5) · Minnesota Lynx | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$350.00 |
| Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky · Los Angeles Sparks | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$309.99 |
| Rockets vs. Lakers · Rockets | 0.635 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$628.05 |
| Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5 · Over | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$83.69 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$235.00 |
| Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream · Los Angeles Sparks | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$579.69 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$570.00 |
| Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 205.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$261.26 |
| Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5) · New York Liberty | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$737.27at 0.500Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5
- +$575.53at 0.520Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$537.50at 0.570Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- +$527.00at 0.500Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury
- +$490.00at 0.510Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 05:30 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever | BUY | 0.46 | $1.50 |
| 08-04 04:21 | Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.56 | $172.52 |
| 08-04 04:18 | San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.64 | $550.00 |
| 08-04 04:16 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.56 | $579.47 |
| 08-04 04:07 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.56 | $554.00 |
| 08-03 04:29 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky | BUY | 0.51 | $324.82 |
| 08-03 04:23 | Spread: Chicago Sky (-1.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $162.60 |
| 08-02 05:09 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.42 | $420.00 |
| 08-02 04:43 | Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $132.50 |
| 08-02 04:43 | Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $265.00 |
| 07-30 23:52 | Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.57 | $570.00 |
| 07-30 23:48 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.58 | $562.59 |
| 07-30 23:48 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.57 | $17.10 |
| 07-30 05:00 | Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.57 | $142.50 |
| 07-30 04:59 | Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.57 | $570.00 |