0xc2e9a448238beC7fe7f4ADBa9Ba4D91AB27423A7-1779037907481
0xc2e9a448238bec7fe7f4adba9ba4d91ab27423a7
- Realised P&L
- $-2.80
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $10.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.80at 0.510Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?
- +$4.00at 0.200Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
- +$2.24at 0.610Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
- +$1.44at 0.410Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?
- +$1.33at 0.430US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 21:31 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999212 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 21:31 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 20:52 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 20:48 | Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.7699997035 | $2.00 |
| 07-24 16:14 | Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 16:01 | Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 15:58 | Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $1.93 |
| 07-23 11:17 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699992344 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 11:13 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $0.92 |
| 07-23 11:05 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699992344 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 07:35 | Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9968727273 | $2.19 |
| 07-22 20:55 | Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999637 | $1.50 |
| 07-22 20:50 | Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.34 |
| 07-15 08:07 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.50 |
| 07-13 07:43 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.5799994896 | $1.00 |