PolyBot

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Traders

0xc2e9a448238beC7fe7f4ADBa9Ba4D91AB27423A7-1779037907481

0xc2e9a448238bec7fe7f4adba9ba4d91ab27423a7

Realised P&L
$-2.80
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$10.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.4500.445$2.97$0.03
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? · No0.5600.555$1.98$0.02
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30? · No0.7700.750$1.95$0.05
Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30? · Yes0.2100.265$1.26+$0.26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.075$0.98$0.72
Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? · No0.8700.780$0.90$0.10
Will Number 7A by Pollock sell for $125M or more? · No0.7400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June? · No0.4200.000$0.00$1.00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31? · No0.5730.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June? · No0.4500.000$0.00$1.00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? · No0.4500.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump say "Xi" this week? · No0.1360.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May? · No0.6400.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 21:31Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.4499999212$2.00
08-01 21:31Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.4499997975$1.00
08-01 20:52Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5599999664$2.00
08-01 20:48Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30?BUY0.7699997035$2.00
07-24 16:14Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
07-24 16:01Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?BUY0.239999856$1.00
07-24 15:58Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?SELL0.76$1.93
07-23 11:17Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?BUY0.8699992344$1.00
07-23 11:13Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?SELL0.81$0.92
07-23 11:05Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?BUY0.8699992344$1.00
07-23 07:35Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?SELL0.9968727273$2.19
07-22 20:55Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6799999637$1.50
07-22 20:50Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?SELL0.36$1.34
07-15 08:07Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.6$1.50
07-13 07:43Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.5799994896$1.00