PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

robot58

0xc2dde643b44534c7a4e5899aab31db13693161dc

Realised P&L
$-632.99
Volume
$154.8k
Markets traded
1,122
Open portfolio
$148.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,122
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? · Yes0.8710.909$90.90+$3.82
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.2500.280$14.00+$1.50
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.2800.225$11.25$2.75
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.1580.191$9.55+$1.65
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? · Yes0.0800.083$8.25+$0.25
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.1500.115$5.75$1.75
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0600.082$4.10+$1.09
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0670.040$1.98$1.38
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0200.034$1.70+$0.71
Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? · Yes0.0110.005$0.55$0.55
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? · Yes0.0050.002$0.15$0.35
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-07-22? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$0.35
Exact Score: PAOK WF 2 - 3 MA Hapoel Jerusalem? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.20
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-07-27? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$0.80
Exact Score: PAOK WF 1 - 1 MA Hapoel Jerusalem? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 18:20Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-07-29?SELL0.16$8.00
07-29 18:20Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-29?SELL0.55$27.50
07-29 18:19Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-07-29?BUY0.18$9.00
07-29 18:19Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-29?BUY0.55964$27.98
07-29 15:30Will Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías end in a draw?SELL0.27$5.40
07-29 15:30Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-29?SELL0.09$1.80
07-29 15:30Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-29?BUY0.1$2.00
07-29 15:30Will Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías end in a draw?BUY0.27$5.40
07-29 14:43Will KF Dukagjini Klinë win on 2026-07-29?BUY0.05$1.00
07-29 14:34Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?SELL0.214391$21.44
07-29 14:34Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?BUY0.2429$24.29
07-29 00:46Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. AA Estudiantes end in a draw?SELL0.09$1.80
07-29 00:46Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. AA Estudiantes end in a draw?BUY0.11$2.20
07-29 00:46Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-07-28?BUY0.035$0.70
07-27 22:50Will CR Brasil vs. Vila Nova FC end in a draw?SELL0.08$1.60