PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

bitcoinkiled

0xc276e560a50e65ae5bb6fdd2053993ad2a479a38

Realised P&L
$69.61
Volume
$54.9k
Markets traded
426
Open portfolio
$111.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded426
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Chan vs. Tirante: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 · Under0.5080.475$18.68$1.32
Popyrin vs. Burruchaga: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 · Under0.5000.580$11.60+$1.60
Busta vs. Royer: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 · Under0.4850.485$10.00+$0.00
Baez vs. Bellucci: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 · Over0.5800.565$9.74$0.26
Svajda vs. Shapovalov: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 · Over0.5750.540$9.39$0.61
Busta vs. Royer: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 · Over0.5700.515$9.04$0.96
Aguilar vs. Draxl: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 · Over0.5870.520$8.86$1.14
Atmane vs. Draper: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 · Under0.4830.425$8.80$1.20
Mochizuki vs. Marozsan: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 · Over0.5170.455$8.80$1.20
Knutson vs. Costoulas: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 · Under0.5970.500$8.38$1.62
Perricard vs. Zandschulp: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 · Under0.5740.445$7.75$2.25
Michelsen vs. Struff: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 · Over0.5600.000$0.00$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on July 28? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET · Up0.3400.000$0.00$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET · Down0.1500.000$0.00$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 12:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.05$5.00
08-04 12:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.070764397$25.00
08-04 12:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.189999988$10.00
08-04 12:09Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.05$5.00
08-04 12:09Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.060199102$25.00
08-04 12:03Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.1699999871$10.00
08-04 11:43Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSELL0.01$0.59
08-04 11:32Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.168065552$10.00
08-04 10:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.1299999902$10.00
08-04 10:19Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETSELL0.43$22.63
08-04 10:15Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETBUY0.189999988$10.00
08-04 10:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.2$10.00
08-04 09:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSELL0.46$24.21
08-04 09:32Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETBUY0.189999988$10.00
08-04 08:56Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSELL0.1522927989$17.93