Crins
0xc164338888f70ae81d08e96d97ed0f06f46e5fce
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $285.0k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.570 | 0.995 | $3.8k | +$1.6k |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.796 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$229.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$847.84at 0.837Blues vs. Jets
- +$430.97at 0.968Jets vs. Blues
- +$191.90at 0.129Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-15?
- +$171.61at 0.910Capitals vs. Hurricanes
- +$146.00at 0.270Liberals win majority in Canadian election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 21:38 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.796 | $229.62 |
| 07-08 17:03 | Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.934 | $217.04 |
| 06-30 19:33 | France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.9 | $102.94 |
| 06-30 19:31 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $102.89 |
| 05-14 14:19 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.62 | $127.85 |
| 04-20 08:04 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $89.86 |
| 12-31 08:07 | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $34.02 |
| 12-31 08:04 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-01? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 11-30 15:19 | Will Telstar 1963 win on 2025-11-30? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.94 |
| 11-30 15:18 | Will Pisa SC win on 2025-11-30? | BUY | 0.9296666667 | $13.95 |
| 11-30 15:18 | Will West Ham vs. Liverpool end in a draw? | BUY | 0.67 | $10.05 |
| 05-19 20:44 | Will Brighton win on 2025-05-19? | BUY | 0.68 | $68.00 |
| 05-16 20:46 | Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-16? | BUY | 0.97 | $261.89 |
| 05-16 19:50 | Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-16? | BUY | 0.97 | $203.70 |
| 05-16 00:08 | Hurricanes vs. Capitals | BUY | 0.54 | $27.79 |