Po1yBot-5w4jKdajMa
0xc0ad6bce22c516332c27279c03b1c034a9cc2f42
- Realised P&L
- $-36.70
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $26.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 5? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.125 | $13.51 | +$10.22 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.230 | 1.000 | $7.82 | +$6.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.015 | $4.10 | −$7.36 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.025 | $2.27 | −$0.86 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.075 | $1.27 | +$0.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.001 | $0.27 | −$21.81 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.001 | $0.09 | −$7.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.47at 0.192Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 1?
- +$63.91at 0.282Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31?
- +$41.57at 0.207Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3?
- +$22.08at 0.266Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 31?
- +$19.22at 0.490Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0299999754 | $1.16 |
| 08-04 17:45 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.19 |
| 08-04 16:49 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0344618772 | $3.13 |
| 08-04 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.055 | $0.56 |
| 08-04 14:51 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0556509603 | $2.70 |
| 08-04 14:46 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0388950677 | $18.00 |
| 08-04 14:19 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0633846154 | $0.82 |
| 08-04 11:30 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2299999297 | $1.80 |
| 08-04 11:24 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0440094207 | $7.85 |
| 08-04 10:17 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.031039501 | $1.49 |
| 08-04 10:17 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.80 |
| 08-04 10:14 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0406141422 | $1.73 |
| 08-04 09:50 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0445708817 | $8.57 |
| 08-03 23:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.020917013 | $3.12 |
| 08-03 22:43 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0362455894 | $1.28 |