Bobyakizsolt
0xc08046f89567fbbe4e9419bbb327d0cdda7250e8
- Realised P&L
- $-532.07
- Volume
- $8.8k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $18.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? · Yes | 0.261 | 0.160 | $18.37 | −$11.63 |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.94 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$118.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? · Yes | 0.367 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$621.34 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$238.71at 0.792Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$60.27at 0.120Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
- +$14.25at 0.789Will England win on 2026-06-17?
- +$8.70at 0.115Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.21at 0.909Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 17:18 | Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.261290318 | $30.00 |
| 07-14 20:23 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.25 |
| 07-14 06:38 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.215 | $18.69 |
| 07-14 06:38 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.211 | $12.63 |
| 06-18 20:55 | Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.2899999973 | $65.94 |
| 06-17 20:33 | Will England win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.39 |
| 06-17 20:15 | Will England win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $50.00 |
| 06-15 18:23 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 06-15 16:25 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.8399999994 | $118.00 |
| 06-14 21:49 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | SELL | 0.1 | $121.30 |
| 06-14 21:47 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.12 | $145.56 |
| 06-14 21:43 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | SELL | 0.82 | $150.88 |
| 06-14 21:16 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.3599999976 | $66.35 |
| 06-14 17:57 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | SELL | 0.988 | $65.21 |
| 06-14 17:34 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.9089999926 | $60.00 |