PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

sder4

0xc05b5127cc63ec0ce9691f38e72c73ae06c4b890

Realised P&L
$311.12
Volume
$10.6k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$39.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration98.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No0.9550.975$23.71+$0.47
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9790.981$6.81+$0.01
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.9990.993$3.09$0.02
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9870.991$2.01+$0.01
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9840.986$2.00+$0.00
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9790.978$2.00$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 06:39Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.999$3.11
06-10 11:44Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9909999997$3.10
06-10 11:42Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.9789999996$6.80
02-20 06:58Will XRP reach $3.20 in February?BUY0.998$2.00
02-20 06:58Will XRP reach $3.40 in February?BUY0.9969995269$2.00
02-20 06:58Will XRP reach $4.00 in February?BUY0.9969996936$3.00
02-20 06:57Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.9869999956$2.00
02-20 06:57Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.984$2.00
02-20 06:57Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.9789999985$2.00
02-20 06:56Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.995$2.00
02-20 06:44Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.955$23.24
11-03 09:13Oilers vs. BluesBUY0.44$243.00
09-28 02:53Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.993$53.48
08-30 12:50Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in August?BUY0.998$53.37
07-06 07:23Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?BUY0.99$52.84
Trader sder4 · PolyBot