dkdkdk12
0xc01a14b46982304c52e9369defed3e7ab292291f
- Realised P&L
- $-77.06
- Volume
- $31.6k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $11.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.11at 0.090Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 16, 2026?
- +$6.63at 0.100Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 20, 2026?
- +$3.17at 0.240Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by July 31, 2026?
- +$-0.29at 0.070Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$-2.00at 0.001Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 6.1%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 09:51 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster? | BUY | 0.0073891552 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 14:24 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.048999954 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 14:22 | Will MrBeast say "Subscriber" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 14:21 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 07:54 | Will MrBeast say "Chocolate" during his next gaming YouTube video? | BUY | 0.0608186589 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 07:54 | Will MrBeast say "Minecraft" during his next gaming YouTube video? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 07:52 | Will Trump say "Fish" in July? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 07:50 | Will MrBeast say "Technology" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 07:42 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.005999994 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 07:42 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.012706853 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 07:38 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.763 | $7.63 |
| 07-20 11:12 | Netanyahu out by July 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 11:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.066 | $4.71 |
| 07-19 11:02 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.0032689086 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 11:02 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.0047856049 | $1.00 |