jaakoppipeshkovec
0xbfbf4bffbc998ea5fd6de70870ef6448eba674e0
- Realised P&L
- $3.5k
- Volume
- $13.1k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $258.13
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar26.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.945 | $77.33 | +$0.41 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.940 | $60.63 | +$0.64 |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No | 0.955 | 0.968 | $50.59 | +$0.68 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.935 | $49.55 | −$0.27 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.968 | 0.954 | $20.02 | −$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.390Reds vs. Cubs
- +$1.1kat 0.460Yankees vs. Reds
- +$960.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on August 8?
- +$600.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on August 22?
- +$350.00at 0.600Jets vs. Stars
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 08:48 | Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $50.00 |
| 05-20 08:40 | Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? | BUY | 0.9 | $20.50 |
| 03-11 10:11 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.99 | $20.19 |
| 12-12 11:54 | Kraken vs. Utah | BUY | 0.62 | $89.90 |
| 08-15 11:37 | Titans vs. Falcons | BUY | 0.59 | $280.25 |
| 07-29 10:57 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.5 | $565.00 |
| 05-22 10:46 | Angels vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.59 | $500.91 |
| 05-16 10:54 | Jets vs. Stars | BUY | 0.6 | $525.00 |
| 05-10 05:51 | Capitals vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.66 | $582.78 |