EmmaSagebb
0xbf57f4e733e10ee2c384e697005803d789b53b46
- Realised P&L
- $305.86
- Volume
- $36.9k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $55.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in July? · No | 0.999 | 0.994 | $55.64 | −$0.28 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.540LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
- +$1.3kat 0.610Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$922.83at 0.560LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- +$512.16at 0.570LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
- +$316.54at 0.774LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 18:28 | Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $55.92 |
| 06-15 17:12 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.63 | $4.5k |
| 06-14 12:39 | LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | BUY | 0.5397494638 | $2.5k |
| 06-14 10:10 | LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | SELL | 0.5692590528 | $2.5k |
| 06-14 06:36 | LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | BUY | 0.745937949 | $3.3k |
| 06-14 00:56 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.6099999999 | $2.0k |
| 06-13 11:00 | LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | BUY | 0.56 | $1.2k |
| 06-12 08:28 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5699999998 | $678.91 |
| 06-09 03:20 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.9699999997 | $668.00 |
| 06-05 07:06 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | BUY | 0.8799999999 | $588.97 |
| 06-01 11:59 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | BUY | 0.8499999999 | $1.4k |
| 05-29 11:18 | LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7741418834 | $1.1k |
| 05-29 02:21 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.99 | $1.1k |
| 05-18 07:58 | Will Giovanni Andrea Martini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 05-11 10:49 | Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $989.00 |