weatherturd
0xbee804f32ad7d8e022c4aaecae383130810d15be
- Realised P&L
- $-473.61
- Volume
- $62.8k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $14.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$815.20at 0.198Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3?
- +$104.30at 0.731Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4?
- +$72.49at 0.515Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 1?
- +$67.84at 0.856Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4?
- +$58.80at 0.459Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:25 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.357667616 | $30.00 |
| 08-04 17:25 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0299202109 | $15.00 |
| 08-04 17:24 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.00625 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:32 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0122029422 | $1.50 |
| 08-04 16:32 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0095486327 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:25 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0160698848 | $1.70 |
| 08-04 13:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 08-04 13:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 08-04 13:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.94 | $18.80 |
| 08-04 13:19 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 08-04 13:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.910194 | $45.51 |
| 08-04 13:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.917 | $9.17 |
| 08-04 13:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.84 |
| 08-04 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.9135 | $18.27 |
| 08-04 13:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.93 | $85.56 |