losanglesairport
0xbecfa379adbf2f05ef18d7458e3048cfc83ec6e5
- Realised P&L
- $-8.33
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $1.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,000-$6,500 in December? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.115 | $1.15 | −$1.35 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 2? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.93 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · No | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No | 0.982 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $360-$365 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10? · Yes | 0.139 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · No | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.13at 0.160S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?
- +$1.60at 0.290Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
- +$1.06at 0.170S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 2?
- +$0.98at 0.473Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$0.87at 0.450S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 07:02 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 07:02 | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 19:52 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.01 |
| 04-22 17:00 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.031 | $1.19 |
| 04-05 16:27 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.985 | $1.00 |
| 04-05 16:26 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 04-05 16:26 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 04-05 16:20 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $360-$365 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10? | BUY | 0.1391304348 | $1.00 |
| 04-05 16:16 | Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.61 |
| 04-05 16:16 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | SELL | 0.977 | $1.01 |
| 04-02 22:02 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 04-02 21:56 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 04-02 09:23 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.9819999057 | $1.00 |
| 04-02 09:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.86 |
| 04-02 09:13 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 2? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |