PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

notnameman

0xbd6ba189aeba6e65957393a6905990bec3ab0d98

Realised P&L
$-11.34
Volume
$912.98
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$46.45

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration54.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.085$25.50$1.50
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1700.155$15.50$1.50
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0220.040$3.95+$1.75
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31? · Yes0.0110.007$1.50$0.60
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$2.10
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting? · No0.3600.000$0.00$4.68
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$2.71

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 06:43Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?BUY0.011$1.10
07-22 06:20Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.36$4.68
07-22 06:19Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.023$1.51
07-21 08:06Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.022$1.78
07-21 08:01Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?BUY0.021$2.10
07-21 06:28Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?BUY0.01$1.00
07-20 09:25Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.17$17.00
07-20 09:09Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$27.00