WhatHappenedHappened
0xbd3002fb3b4b783732d21ea099461dccf3ea685b
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $33.5k
- Markets traded
- 466
- Open portfolio
- $19.03
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded466
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$168.00at 0.060Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South?
- +$168.00at 0.060Will New Orleans Saints win the 2026 NFC South?
- +$164.00at 0.060Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2026 NFC South?
- +$85.07at 0.060Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with pure water?
- +$83.98at 0.400US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.015 | $0.30 |
| 08-04 17:42 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.50 |
| 08-04 15:38 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.20 |
| 08-04 14:50 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 08-04 13:46 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.17 | $2.55 |
| 08-04 08:57 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.63 | $22.19 |
| 08-04 08:56 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.15 |
| 08-04 08:54 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.68 | $4.76 |
| 08-04 08:54 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.68 | $39.44 |
| 08-04 08:54 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.0011816667 | $0.04 |
| 08-04 08:49 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C or higher on August 6? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-04 08:48 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-04 08:48 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-04 08:48 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.0013333333 | $0.04 |
| 08-04 08:45 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on August 6? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |