LHBMJW
0xbcd3e43e923a16925e89e3963865ca1c87ab1a5a
- Realised P&L
- $-521.85
- Volume
- $29.9k
- Markets traded
- 588
- Open portfolio
- $180.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded588
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$142.76at 0.140Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
- +$73.73at 0.270Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
- +$45.32at 0.340Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?
- +$41.48at 0.554Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?
- +$37.63at 0.470Texas Rangers vs. Athletics
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:05 | Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.14 |
| 08-02 17:33 | Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.26 | $7.80 |
| 08-02 08:56 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.84 |
| 08-02 06:02 | Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $10.26 |
| 08-02 01:58 | Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United? | BUY | 0.668 | $12.02 |
| 08-01 18:12 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | SELL | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 08-01 13:57 | Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%? | BUY | 0.2427764706 | $12.38 |
| 08-01 09:05 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | SELL | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 08-01 08:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.69 | $14.49 |
| 08-01 06:13 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 07-30 22:01 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.28 | $8.12 |
| 07-30 04:55 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 07-30 02:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $9.46 |
| 07-29 11:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | SELL | 0.4 | $7.60 |
| 07-29 09:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.1 | $3.60 |