himmelthehero
0xbccefeb43457808cd4bae72e00ae2eda27a965af
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $251.1k
- Markets traded
- 10,437
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,437
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.05at 0.534Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or higher on March 9?
- +$29.16at 0.698Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on May 8?
- +$25.97at 0.774Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 6?
- +$24.90at 0.585Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 2?
- +$24.39at 0.390Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.94 | $15.71 |
| 08-04 22:29 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $6.93 |
| 08-04 22:09 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $6.93 |
| 08-04 22:04 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $6.93 |
| 08-04 17:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.989 | $6.92 |
| 08-04 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9895724726 | $8.12 |
| 08-04 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.989 | $6.92 |
| 08-04 16:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.989 | $6.92 |
| 08-04 15:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.979 | $6.85 |
| 08-04 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.977 | $6.84 |
| 08-04 14:23 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.53 |
| 08-04 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.988 | $6.92 |
| 08-04 14:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.72 |
| 08-04 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.988 | $7.51 |
| 08-04 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.978 | $4.89 |