PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

happykidhehe

0xbb3586c675a38be0fd3a5174119b34a3a13c7998

Realised P&L
$-53.65
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$28.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · No0.5900.745$14.90+$3.10
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? · Yes0.4300.350$8.75$2.00
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes0.4000.255$5.10$2.90
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2550.000$0.00$10.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4190.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET · Up0.2400.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET · Down0.1500.000$0.00$2.00
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · No0.4300.000$0.00$21.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Up0.0700.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 18:04Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.412499996$30.00
07-11 16:23Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4299999961$20.00
07-11 16:21Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2549999828$10.00
05-21 07:51Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot FireBUY0.21$1.68
05-21 07:50Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob MeneryBUY0.29$5.80
05-20 16:32Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETBUY0.72$2.00
05-19 17:07Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETBUY0.2399999184$2.00
05-19 16:48Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.1699999759$5.00
05-19 16:38Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.0699999688$2.00
05-19 15:50Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETSELL0.99$5.07
05-19 15:49Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETBUY0.3899998908$2.00
05-19 15:24Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY0.0299999857$2.00
05-19 15:16Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETSELL0.4$3.20
05-19 15:15Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY0.25$2.00
05-19 15:10Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.01$2.00