fdghyfjukggh
0xbb30d0ff7814f2bcebbec647a5ef82e85519d405
- Realised P&L
- $-50.48
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $199.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.733 | 0.815 | $55.61 | +$5.61 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.959 | 0.983 | $35.86 | +$0.86 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.423 | 0.495 | $29.23 | +$4.23 |
| Will RISE launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.973 | $28.97 | +$0.97 |
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? · No | 0.960 | 0.978 | $20.37 | +$0.37 |
| Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.565 | 0.656 | $17.42 | +$2.42 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.545 | $12.39 | +$2.39 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.344 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$137.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.33at 0.330Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?
- +$5.00at 0.750Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
- +$3.57at 0.870US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
- +$3.09at 0.930Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- +$2.61at 0.920Will Hibachi launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 19:09 | Will RISE launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999993 | $28.00 |
| 07-22 19:05 | Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9589999811 | $35.00 |
| 07-22 19:05 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 19:03 | Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5649999957 | $15.00 |
| 07-22 19:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 19:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.732673266 | $50.00 |
| 07-22 18:59 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4233177407 | $25.00 |
| 07-04 07:17 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.344 | $137.60 |
| 05-12 15:29 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.9779999999 | $27.00 |
| 05-12 14:56 | Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | BUY | 0.9299999651 | $20.00 |
| 05-12 14:56 | Will Rabby launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9689999994 | $21.00 |
| 05-12 14:55 | Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9503968224 | $15.00 |
| 05-12 14:55 | Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 04-13 19:10 | Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9709999798 | $33.99 |
| 04-13 19:09 | Will Hyperliquid reach $46 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $30.00 |