PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xbaf924bfb7c5024107eb2f87716d83d1d4f09f0e

Realised P&L
$3.17
Volume
$325.00
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$54.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration90.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.9590.994$25.84+$0.91
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.9430.955$16.23+$0.19
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.9000.885$4.42$0.07
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.825$4.13$0.13
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0300.063$3.15+$1.65
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.060$0.60$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 08:36Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.9$4.50
07-09 21:01Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.942$10.36
07-06 22:21Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.945$5.67
06-24 07:10Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$1.20
06-20 16:31Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.85$4.25
06-15 06:11Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.83$4.15
06-01 19:59Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.505$2.52
06-01 19:59Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.495$3.46
06-01 19:59China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.97$4.85
05-25 06:36Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.934$4.67
04-25 11:38Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.555$3.33
04-21 08:26U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.83$10.79
03-27 10:33Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.03$1.50
03-16 11:48Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.959$27.31