chdhdh11
0xbadf252fc2dad6e0cfbc71feb9d5b48ae54a120d
- Realised P&L
- $-218.88
- Volume
- $396.9k
- Markets traded
- 482
- Open portfolio
- $174.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded482
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.500Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$956.05at 0.017Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
- +$944.28at 0.017Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
- +$943.97at 0.017Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
- +$859.42at 0.017Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:39 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.01 |
| 08-01 23:19 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.02 |
| 08-01 14:15 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 1? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.03 |
| 08-01 11:59 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 1? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.68 |
| 08-01 04:33 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.04 |
| 07-31 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.32 |
| 07-17 00:15 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 18? | SELL | 0.052 | $0.22 |
| 07-13 05:29 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 13? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.06 |
| 07-12 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.58 |
| 07-02 20:07 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 3? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.06 |
| 07-02 17:13 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 4? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.61 |
| 07-02 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 07-01 12:52 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 2? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.73 |
| 05-29 03:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or below on May 29? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 05-29 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or below on May 29? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |