PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

norer

0xbade26b5c695ceb2944fbbeb9f58eec45fcdda36

Realised P&L
$-2.28
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$0.42

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0010.002$0.42+$0.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-22 19:11Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.001$1.00
05-11 20:22Will Kim Do-kyun win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?BUY0.999$12.99
04-22 23:13Will Kim Do-kyun win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?BUY0.002$0.12
03-04 22:14Will Rastriya Prajatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY0.001$0.20
02-11 19:55Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA?BUY0.001$0.03
01-05 07:30Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?BUY0.001$1.00
12-24 06:24Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?BUY0.002$1.00