norer
0xbade26b5c695ceb2944fbbeb9f58eec45fcdda36
- Realised P&L
- $-2.28
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $0.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.002 | $0.42 | +$0.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.38at 0.002Will Kim Do-kyun win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
- +$-0.03at 0.001Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA?
- +$-1.00at 0.001Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?
- +$-1.00at 0.001Will Rastriya Prajatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?
- +$-1.00at 0.002Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 19:11 | Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 20:22 | Will Kim Do-kyun win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.99 |
| 04-22 23:13 | Will Kim Do-kyun win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.12 |
| 03-04 22:14 | Will Rastriya Prajatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 02-11 19:55 | Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 01-05 07:30 | Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 12-24 06:24 | Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |