Orkh
0xba8f0a51044792a22d430046305c282f4893ad42
- Realised P&L
- $27.68
- Volume
- $54.0k
- Markets traded
- 278
- Open portfolio
- $159.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded278
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$239.21at 0.707Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$101.03at 0.732Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$56.66at 0.593US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$39.34at 0.294US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
- +$33.77at 0.762US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 14:01 | Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.16 |
| 07-23 10:35 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $22.80 |
| 07-23 10:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $28.99 |
| 07-20 08:47 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $3.60 |
| 07-17 19:11 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.24 | $7.20 |
| 07-14 19:56 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.43 |
| 07-14 16:54 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.31 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 07:54 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.19 | $5.70 |
| 07-13 17:58 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $14.88 |
| 07-13 09:50 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.052 | $3.65 |
| 07-12 13:04 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 21:11 | Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.73 |
| 07-10 21:07 | Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 21:04 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.61 |
| 07-10 21:03 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | SELL | 0.53 | $2.65 |