PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xba2cb3168709dc3880243586448d6d67afc2bf17

Realised P&L
$36.9k
Volume
$1.29M
Markets traded
78
Open portfolio
$7.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded78
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 23:09U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.88$792.00
07-29 23:09U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.88$1.6k
07-29 23:06U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.8993091468$523.65
07-14 20:26Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?BUY0.96$136.32
07-14 20:26Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?BUY0.96$199.68
07-14 20:26Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?BUY0.96$199.68
07-14 20:26Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?BUY0.9576506024$317.94
07-14 19:57Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?BUY0.951900718$1.3k
07-14 19:57Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?BUY0.9$217.80
07-14 18:47Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?BUY0.5845635132$10.1k
06-16 23:56US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.994$15.9k
04-25 03:27Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?BUY0.58$1.11
04-10 16:30Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?BUY0.2099646883$112.14
04-10 02:15Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?BUY0.453093087$87.56
04-10 02:15Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?BUY0.534255346$402.24