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0xB9F563D6970A37E604E2C9982EC4857E37388F3c-1761605581703

0xb9f563d6970a37e604e2c9982ec4857e37388f3c

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$68.7k
Markets traded
272
Open portfolio
$176.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded272
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel election: will Likud lose seats? · Yes0.5500.890$89.01+$34.00
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No0.4000.325$32.50$7.50
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.1500.176$17.65+$2.65
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1900.065$17.45$33.60
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.1500.305$15.25+$7.75
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1030.029$2.87$7.13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.2500.065$0.97$2.77
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0040.002$0.81$1.13
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15? · Yes0.4280.000$0.00$14.36
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$0.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-21 19:10Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.33$33.00
06-21 19:09Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.0386193$3.86
06-21 19:07Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?BUY0.46$5.98
06-21 19:07Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?BUY0.4137931034$12.00
06-01 17:19Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?SELL0.2703415$54.07
06-01 12:13Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.192$38.40
06-01 12:13Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.193$38.60
05-30 18:32Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?BUY0.18$17.95
05-30 18:32Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?BUY0.17$5.10
05-26 19:29Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?BUY0.55$6.78
05-15 10:40Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.1157684533$10.00
05-15 10:39Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.003$4.04
05-13 19:21Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?BUY0.35$7.00
05-13 19:20Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?BUY0.4023552484$100.00
05-13 19:19Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?BUY0.3937007874$100.00