joel2011140
0xb98251dcf44a74974f24c0097a7edcc995956743
- Realised P&L
- $-21.28
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.20at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
- +$2.94at 0.560Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
- +$2.23at 0.310Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
- +$1.95at 0.690Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
- +$1.72at 0.640Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 12:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.0023182224 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 14:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 13:47 | Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 13:46 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 13:45 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0589999464 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 10:01 | Miguel Almirón: 1+ assists | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 10:00 | Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 10:00 | Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 09:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 09:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 08:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 08:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 08:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 08:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 08:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |