PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0x3d9CF0dDAe5Ea85E2C21f476045E5A5B73610d76-1772063161910

0xb8b507b04311021e7ef4bf48afa493622e3de93c

Realised P&L
$-15.64
Volume
$441.33
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$9.76

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? · Yes0.4880.486$4.87$0.01
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%? · Yes0.2400.235$3.52$0.07
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.2500.215$1.07$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 4? · Yes0.0700.015$0.30$1.10
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$1.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$2.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00$5.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$10.00
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 14:48Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 4?BUY0.07$0.95
08-04 14:46Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?BUY0.488$4.88
08-04 14:44Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?BUY0.24$3.60
07-14 12:51Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.215$8.53
07-07 02:10Will Novak Djokovic advance to the Semifinals in Gentlemen's Singles at Wimbledon 2026?BUY0.669999866$1.05
07-07 02:03Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.0352374284$1.00
07-07 01:57Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
07-07 01:55Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0279999733$1.00
07-07 01:52Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
07-07 01:50Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.14999994$2.00
06-21 00:53Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.719999856$1.00
06-21 00:52Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1259999801$5.00
06-21 00:49Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1179999802$5.00
06-21 00:47Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.054999995$10.00
Trader 0x3d9CF0dDAe5Ea85E2C21f476045E5A5B73610d76-1772063161910 · PolyBot